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Jared
Diamond: Guns, Germs &
Steel:
a
short history of everybody for the last 13,000 years
(Jonathan Cape: 1997)
“We all know that
history has proceeded very differently for peoples from
different parts of the globe. In the 13,000 years since
the last Ice Age, some parts of the world developed literate
industrial societies with metal tools, other parts developed
only nonliterate farming societies, and still others retained
societies of hunter-gatherers with stone tools. These
historical inequalities have cast long shadows on the
modern world, because the literate societies with stone
tools have conquered or exterminated the other societies.
While those differences constitute the most basic fact
of world history, the reasons for them remain uncertain
or controversial.... It seems logical to suppose that
history’s pattern reflects innate differences among
the people themselves. Of course, we’re taught that
it’s not polite to say so in public.... Nevertheless,
we have to wonder. We keep seeing all those glaring, persistent
differences in peoples’ status. We’re assured
that the seemingly transparent biological explanation
for the world’s inequalities as of A.D. 1500 is
wrong, but we’re not told what the correct explanation
is. Until we have some convincing, detailed, agreed-upon
explanation for the broad pattern of history, most people
will continue to suspect that the racist biological explanation
is correct after all. That seems to me the strongest argument
for writing this book.”
(Diamond, pp.13-25)
Few books have had the impact of this, Jared Diamond’s
deceptively-named masterpiece on the biogeography of domestication
and its flow-on effects in human history. Still to be
found in every general bookshop I’ve sampled - albeit
unscientifically - it comprises such an exhaustive counter-argument
against racist understandings of comparative history that,
quite simply, the job will never need to be done again.
And, in doing so, it also set out the full case for what
is usually underestimated (or, at least, understated)
in most historical work - the fundamental role of geographical
differences in setting the stage on which human history
is played out...
While other works, particularly subsequently, may tackle
some of its main concerns, none do so with the same combination
of exhaustive & rigorous treatment and engaging prose
that made this book such a long-lasting success. To be
sure, as I’ll note below, there are some difficulties
to be noted amongst Diamond’s arguments in the later
chapters. But such are only to be expected in such an
encyclopaedic work, and hardly diminish from the achievement.
And to sample such, the best place to begin is perhaps
this summary of the myriad ways in which domestication
changed human life:
“More consumable
calories means more people. Among wild plant and animal
species, only a small minority are edible to humans or
worth hunting and gathering. Most species are useless
to us as food, for one or more of the following reasons:
they are indigestible (like bark), poisonous (monarch
butterflies and death-cap mushrooms), low in nutritional
value (jellyfish), tedious to prepare (very small nuts),
difficult to gather (larvae of most insects), or dangerous
to hunt (rhinoceroses). Most biomass (living biological
matter) on land is in the form of wood and leaves, most
of which we cannot digest. By selecting and growing those
few species of plants and animals that we can eat, so
that they constitute 90 percent rather than 0.1 percent
of the biomass on an acre of land...[it] can feed many
more herders and farmers - typically, 10 to 100 times
more - than hunter-gatherers. That strength of brute numbers
was the first of many military advantages that food-producing
tribes gained over hunter-gatherer tribes. [And,] in human
societies possessing domestic animals, livestock fed more
people in four distinct ways: by furnishing meat, milk,
and fertilizer, and by pulling plows...thereby making
it possible for people to til land that had previously
been uneconomical for farming.... All those are direct
ways in which plant and animal domestication led to denser
human populations by yielding more food than did the hunter-gatherer
lifestyle.”
(Diamond, pp.86-9)
“A more indirect
way involved the consequences of the sedentary lifestyle
enforced by food production...[which] permitted a shortened
birth interval. An hunter-gatherer mother who is shifting
camp can carry only one child, along with her few possessions.
She cannot afford to bear her next child until the previous
toddler can walk fast enough to keep up with the tribe
and not hold it back. By contrast, sedentary people...can
bear and raise as many children as they can feed. The
birth interval for many farm peoples is around two years,
half that of hunter gatherers. [A further] consequence
of a settled existence is that it permits one to store
food surpluses, since storage would be pointless if one
didn’t remain nearby to guard the stored food....
Stored food is essential for feeding non-food-producing
specialists...[such as] kings and bureaucrats. Of most
direct relevance to wars of conquest, it can be used to
feed professional soldiers.... Stored food can also feed
priests, who provide religious justification for wars
of conquest; artisans such as metalworkers, who develop
swords, guns and other technologies; and scribes, who
preserve far more information than can be remembered adequately.
So far, I’ve emphasized direct and indirect values
of crops and livestock as food. However they also have
other uses, such as keeping us warm and providing us with
valuable materials.... [And] big domestic animals further
revolutionized human society by becoming our main means
of land transport until the development of railroads in
the nineteenth century.... Of equal importance in wars
of conquest were the germs that evolved in human societies
with domestic animals.... Hence the availability of domestic
plants and animals ultimately explains why empires, literacy,
and steel weapons developed earliest in Eurasia and later,
or not at all, on other continents.”
(Diamond, pp.89-92)
To be sure, I’ve had to cut into this, simply to
reduce it to a manageable size. But, even so, it still
demonstrates the care Diamond shows to to trace the connections,
and lay out all the alternatives. This is most in evidence
in the core of the book: his account of the development
of domestication, and the very material reasons why it
centred on the Fertile Crescent region of the Middle East:
“It should come
as no surprise that food production never arose in large
areas of the globe, for ecological reasons that make it
difficult or impossible there today.... Instead, what
cries out for explanation is the failure of food production
to appear, until modern times, in some ecologically very
suitable areas that are among the world’s richest
centers of agriculture and herding today.... [And] when
we trace food production back to its beginnings,
the earliest sites provide another surprise. Far from
being modern breadbaskets, they include areas ranking
today as somewhat dry or ecologically degraded: Iraq and
Iran, Mexico, the Andes, parts of China, and Africa’s
Sahel zone. Why did food production develop first in these
seemingly rather marginal lands, and only later in today’s
most fertile farmlands and pastures?”
(Diamond, pp.93-4)
“What actually
happened was not a discovery
of food production, nor an invention ,
as we might first assume. There was often not even a conscious
choice...because [the people involved] had never seen
farming, and had no way of knowing what it would be like.
Instead, as we shall see, food production evolved
as a by-product of decisions made without awareness of
their consequences.... Another misconception is that there
is necessarily a sharp divide between nomadic hunter-gatherers
and sedentary food producers.... [Furthermore,] some hunter-gatherers
intensively manage their land...[and] from those precursors
of food production already practised by hunter-gatherers,
it developed stepwise. Not all the necessary techniques
were developed within a short time, and not all the wild
plants and animals that were eventually domesticated in
a given area were domesticated simultaneously.... The
underlying reason why this transition was piecemeal is
that food production systems evolved as the result of
the accumulation of many separate decisions about allocating
time and effort.... Many considerations enter these decisions.
People seek food in order to satisfy their hunger and
fill their bellies. They also crave specific foods, such
as protein-rich foods, fat, salt, sweet fruits, and foods
that simply taste good. All other things being equal,
people seek...the most return with the greatest certainty
in the least time for the least effort. Simultaneously,
they seek to minimize their risk of starving: moderate
but reliable returns are preferable to a fluctuating lifestyle....
Conversely, men hunters tend to guide themselves by considerations
of prestige...[and] people are also guided by seemingly
arbitrary cultural preferences...[and] the relative values
they attach to different lifestyles - just as we can see
today.... Throughout human history, farmers have tended
to despise hunter-gatherers as primitive, hunter-gatherers
have despised farmers as ignorant, and herders have despised
both. All these elements come into play in people’s
separate decisions about how to obtain their food...[for]
we must consider food production and hunting-gathering
as alternative strategies
competing with each other.”
(Diamond, pp.105-9)
“Farmers selected
from among individual plants on the basis not only of
perceptible qualities like size and taste, but also of
invisible features like seed dispersal mechanisms, germination
inhibition and reproduction biology. As a result, different
plants became selected for quite different or even opposite
features. Some plants (like sunflowers) were selected
for much bigger seeds, while others (like bananas) were
selected for tiny or even nonexistent seeds.... Especially
instructive are cases in which a single wild plant species
was variously selected for different purposes, and thereby
gave rise to quite different-looking crops...[such as]
ancestral cabbage plants, possibly grown originally for
their oily seeds.... They became variously selected for
leaves (modern cabbage and kale), stems (kohlrabi), buds
(brussels sprouts), or flower shoots (cauliflower and
broccoli). So far we have been discussing transformations
of wild plants into crops as a result of selection by
farmers, consciously or unconsciously.... But much of
the transformation was also effected as a result of plants’
selecting themselves...as farming changed the environment
for plants. A tilled, fertilized, watered, weeded garden
provides growing conditions very different from those
on a dry, unfertilized hillside...[and] when a farmer
sows seeds densely in a garden, there is intense competition
among the seeds.”
(Diamond, pp.122-3)
“The adoption
of food production exemplifies what is termed an autocatalytic
process - one that catalyzes itself in a positive feedback
cycle, going faster and faster once it has started. A
gradual rise in population densities impelled people to
obtain more food, rewarding those who unconsciously took
steps toward producing it. Once people began to produce
food and became sedentary, they could shorten the birth
spacing and produce more people, requiring still more
food. This bidirectional link between food production
and population density explains the paradox that food
production, while increasing the quantity of edible calories
per acre, left the food producers less well nourished
than the hunter-gatherers whom they succeeded.”
(Diamond, pp.111-12)
As Diamond repeatedly stresses, the key to farming is
economics at a fundamental level - and the full package
which we take for granted today was hardly available to
those who pioneered the processes. Nonetheless, those
locations where such a package was
able to be assembled - with crops and livestock to fill
the crucial dietary and energy requirements - enjoyed
a huge advantage over areas where this was not the case,
and particularly over those continents where crucial domesticates
were simply lacking. Most unfairly, in fact, the Fertile
Crescent offered not only a whole suite of easily-domesticable
plants and animals, but was also conveniently-placed to
benefit from the nearby domestication of the last crucial
ingredient: the horse for traction, transport, and war...
“It turns out
that the earliest Fertile Crescent crops, such as the
wheat and barley and peas domesticated around 10,000 years
ago, arose from wild ancestors offering many advantages.
They were already edible and gave high yields in the wild.
They were easily grown, merely by being sown or planted.
They grew quickly and could be harvested within a few
months of sowing, a big advantage for incipient farmers
still on the borderline between nomadic hunters and settled
villagers. They could be readily stored, unlike many later
crops such as strawberries and lettuce. They were mostly
self-pollinating: that is, the crop varieties could pollinate
themselves and pass on their own desirable genes unchanged,
instead of having to hybridize with other varieties less
useful to humans. Finally, their wild ancestors required
very little genetic change to be converted into crops.”
(Diamond, pp.123-4)
“Of the 200,000
wild plant species, only a few thousand are eaten by humans,
and just a few hundred of these have been more or less
domesticated. Even of these several hundred crops, most
provide minor supplements to our diet, and would not by
themselves have sufficed to support the rise of civilizations.
A mere dozen species account for over 80 percent of the
modern world’s annual tonnage of all crops. These
dozen blockbusters are the cereals wheat, corn, rice,
barley, and sorghum; the pulse soybean; the roots or tubers
potato, manioc, and sweet potato; the sugar sources sugarcane
and sugar beet; and the fruit banana. Cereal crops alone
now account for more than half of the calories consumed
by the world’s human populations. With so few major
crops in the world, it’s less surprising that many
areas of the world had no wild native plants at all of
outstanding potential. [And] our failure to domesticate
even a single major new food plant in modern times suggests
that ancient peoples really may have explored virtually
all useful wild plants, and domesticated the ones worth
domesticating.”
(Diamond, pp.132-3)
“Domesticable
animals are all alike; every undomesticable animal is
undomesticable in its own way. If you think you’ve
already read something like that before, you’re
right. Just make a few changes, and you have the famous
first sentence of Tolstoy’s great novel Anna
Karenina .... [But] this
principle can be extended to understanding much else about
life besides marriage. We tend to seek easy, single-factor
explanations of success. For most important things, though,
success actually requires avoiding many separate causes
of failure. The Anna Karenina
principle explains a feature of animal domestication that
had heavy consequences for human history - namely, that
so many seemingly suitable big wild mammal species, such
as zebras and peccaries, have never been domesticated
and that the successful domesticates were almost exclusively
Eurasian.... [Moreover,] if one defines “big”
as “weighing over 100 pounds,” then only 14
such species were domesticated before the twentieth century...[and]
only five species became widespread and important around
the globe. These Major Five of mammal domestication are
the cow, sheep, goat, pig, and horse.... The wild ancestors
of the Ancient Fourteen were spread unevenly over the
globe. South America had only one such ancestor, which
gave rise to the llama and alpaca. North America, Australia,
and sub-Saharan Africa had none at all...[while] seven
of the wild ancestors occurred in Southwest Asia.... Did
all those people of Africa, the Americas, and Australia,
despite their enormous cultural diversity, nonetheless
share some cultural obstacles to domestication not shared
with Eurasian peoples? ...The answer to that is unequivocal:
No! The interpretation is refuted by five types of evidence:
rapid acceptance of Eurasian domesticates by non-Eurasian
peoples, the universal human penchant for keeping pets,
the rapid domestication of the Ancient Fourteen, the repeated
independent domestication of some of them, and the limited
success of modern efforts at further domestication...[for]
humans and most animal species make an unhappy marriage,
for one or more of many possible reasons: the animal’s
diet, growth rate, mating habits, disposition, tendency
to panic, and several distinct features of social organization.
Only a small percentage of wild mammal species ended up
in happy marriages with humans, by virtue of compatibility
on all those separate counts.”
(Diamond, pp.157-74)
Thus animal domestication was an even chancier process
than that of plants and, again, the results favoured Eurasia
- and, more particularly, the Fertile Crescent - this
time, even more strongly. But, whilst “the man on
horseback” may dominate accounts of history as traditionally-conceived,
a far more insidious process (albeit also stemming from
a domesticated source) was responsible for the most total
military victories in history: those which nearly depopulated
continents, and led to the settler societies of North
America and Australia...
“Why did the rise
of agriculture launch the evolution of our crowd infectious
diseases? One reason...is that agriculture sustains much
higher human population densities.... In addition, hunter-gatherers
frequently shift camp...but farmers are sedentary and
live amid their own sewage, thus providing microbes with
a short path from one person’s body into another’s
drinking water.... [And] if the rise of farming was thus
a bonanza for our microbes, the rise of cities was a greater
one, as still more densely packed human populations festered
under even worse sanitary conditions.... Another bonanza
was the development of world trade routes, which by Roman
times effectively joined the populations of Europe, Asia,
and North Africa into one giant breeding ground for microbes....
Thus, when the human population became sufficiently large
and concentrated...we could at last evolve and sustain
crowd diseases confined to our own species. But that conclusion
presents a paradox: such diseases could never have existed
before then! Instead, they had to evolve as new diseases.
Where did those new diseases come from? ...The microbes’
closest relatives...also prove to be agents of crowd infectious
diseases - but ones confined to various species of our
domestic animals and pets. Among animals, too, epidemic
diseases require large, dense populations and don’t
afflict just any animal: they’re confined mainly
to social animals providing the necessary large populations.
Hence, when we domesticated social animals, such as cows
and pigs, they were already infected with epidemic diseases
just waiting to be transferred to us.”
(Diamond, pp.205-6)
And, the Eurasian advantages don’t stop there. Not
only did they have (by far) the best grains and almost
all of the small number of suitable animals, but Eurasians
also had a continent blessed with a far superior orientation
for the spread of crops - not to mention far less in the
way of other geographical barriers. And, then there’s
the simple size/carrying capacity factor to remember:
“On a map of the
world...compare the shapes and orientations of the continents.
You’ll be struck by an obvious difference. The Americas
span a much greater distance north-south (9,000 miles)
than east-west: only 3,000 miles at the widest, narrowing
to a mere 40 miles at the Isthmus of Panama. That is,
the major axis of the Americas is north-south. The same
is also true, though to a less extreme degree, for Africa.
In contrast, the major axis of Eurasia is east-west....
Axis orientations affected the rate of spread of crops
and livestock, and possibly also of writing, wheels, and
other inventions...[for] just as some regions proved more
suitable than others for the origins of food production,
the ease of its spread also varied greatly around the
world.... Why was the spread of crops from the Fertile
Crescent so rapid? The answer depends partly on that east-west
axis of Eurasia...[since] localities distributed east
and west of each other at the same latitude share exactly
the same day length and its seasonal variations. To a
lesser degree, they also tend to share similar diseases,
regimes of temperature and rainfall, and habitats or biomes
(types of vegetation). For example, southern Italy, northern
Iran, and Japan, all located at about the same latitude...are
more similar to each other in climate than each is to
a location lying even a mere 1,000 miles due south....
[And] the germination, growth, and disease resistance
of plants are adapted to precisely those features of climate.
Seasonal changes of day length, temperature and rainfall
constitute signals that stimulate seeds to germinate,
seedlings to grow, and mature plants to develop flowers,
seeds, and fruit...[and] those regimes vary greatly with
latitude.... As a consequence, most Fertile Crescent crops
grow well in France and Japan, but poorly at the equator.”
(Diamond, pp.176-84)
“I have been dwelling
on latitude, readily assessed by a glance at a map, because
it is a major determinant of climate, growing conditions,
and ease of spread of food production. However, latitude
is of course not the only such determinant, and it is
not always true that adjacent places at the same latitude
have the same climate (though they do necessarily have
the same day length). Topographic and ecological barriers,
much more pronounced on some continents than others, were
locally important obstacles to diffusion. For instance,
crop diffusion between the US Southeast and Southwest
was very slow and selective although those two regions
are at the same latitude. That’s because much of
the intervening area of Texas and the southern Great Plains
was dry and unsuitable for agriculture. A corresponding
example within Eurasia involved the eastern limit of the
Fertile Crescent crops, which spread rapidly westward
to the Atlantic Ocean and eastward to the Indus Valley
without encountering a major barrier. However, farther
eastward in India the shift from predominantly winter
rainfall to predominantly summer rainfall contributed
to a much more delayed extension of agriculture, involving
different crops and farming techniques, into the Ganges
plain of northeastern India. Still farther east, temperate
areas of China were isolated from western Eurasian areas
with similar climates by the combination of the Central
Asian desert, Tibetan plateau, and Himalayas. The initial
development of food production in China was therefore
independent.... By the same token, the potency of a 2,000
mile north-south shift as a barrier also varies with local
conditions. Fertile Crescent food production spread quickly
southward over that distance to Ethiopia, and Bantu food
production spread quickly from Africa’s Great Lakes
region south to Natal, because in both cases the intervening
areas had similar rainfall regimes and were suitable for
agriculture. In contrast, crop diffusion from Indonesia
south to southwestern Australia was completely impossible,
and...the lack of a high-elevation plateau in Mesoamerica
south of Guatemala, and Mesoamerica’s extreme narrowness
south of Mexico and especially in Panama, were at least
as important as the latitudinal gradient in throttling
crop and livestock exchanges between the highlands of
Mexico and the Andes.”
(Diamond, pp.189-90)
“Most Fertile
Crescent crops prove, on genetic study, to derive from
only a single domestication process, whose resulting crop
spread so quickly that it preempted any other incipient
domestications of the same or related species. In contrast,
many apparently widespread Native American crops prove
to consist of related species, or even of genetically
distinct varieties of the same species, independently
domesticated.”
(Diamond, p.188)
At the end of all this, it’s not at all surprising
to the reader that sub-Saharan Africa, the Americas and
Australia lagged Eurasia in development...rather, the
real surprise is that the Eurasians took so unconscionably
long to make
the most of their myriad advantages, leading one to suspect
that Diamond might be right about Eurasians being selected
more for germ-resistance than for brains!
Be that as it may, it should also be noted that much of
part three of Guns,
Germs, and Steel is distinctly less impressive
than the rest of the book - particularly the chapters
on government & writing, which present as uncontroversial
mainstream perspectives which have been seriously challenged
by distinguished scholars such as Charles Eric Maisels,
Norman Yoffee, and Eric Havelock. Nonetheless, this hardly
detracts from the basic argument - in fact, those alternative
perspectives arguably add to the Eurasian advantages,
by stressing the formal superiority of the fully alphabetic
system, and the variety of processes which may lead to
state formation - some of which generate more pluralistic
& innovative societies, a matter which Diamond addresses
from a different perspective:
“It is untrue
that there are continents whose societies have tended
to be innovative and continents whose societies have tended
to be conservative. On any continent, at any given time,
there are innovative societies and also conservative ones.
In addition, receptivity to innovation fluctuates in time
within the same region. On reflection, these conclusions
are precisely what one would expect if a society’s
innovativeness is determined by many independent factors...[and
it] means that, over a large enough area (such as a whole
continent) at any particular time, some proportion of
societies is likely to be innovative.... [However,] the
differences in population are glaring: Eurasia’s
(including North Africa’s) is nearly 6 times that
of the Americas, nearly 8 times that of Africa’s,
and 230 times that of Australia’s. Larger populations
mean more inventors and more competing societies. [This]
by itself goes a long way toward explaining the origins
of guns and steel in Eurasia. All these effects that continental
differences in area, population, ease of diffusion and
onset of food production exerted on the rise of technology
became exaggerated, because technology catalyzes itself.”
(Diamond, p.254-64)
Despite my carping over certain details, Jared Diamond’s
Guns, Germs, and Steel
is a tour de force...a landmark work in exploring the
fundamental grounds on which historical differences have
emerged - and the book best equipped to alert us to these
as we trawl through the murkier waters of history proper.
For, sadly, it is simply unlikely that most historical
questions can be approached with the scientific rigour
Diamond brings to the biogeography of domestication. So-called
“natural experiments” are rare, whilst the
complexity of state-level societies makes comparisons
a much more fraught process - a crucial reason why Diamond’s
arguments are less persuasive in exactly the areas I noted
above. But we should nonetheless count our blessings -
and be thankful that we have such a guide to just how,
and why, the most fundamental societal differences of
all have emerged.
“Naturally, the
notion that environmental geography and biogeography influenced
societal development is an old idea. Nowadays, though,
the view is not held in esteem by historians; it is considered
wrong or simplistic, or it is caricatured as environmental
determinism and dismissed, or else the whole subject of
trying to understand worldwide differences is shelved
as too difficult.... [But] the time is now ripe for a
fresh look at these questions, because of new information
from disciplines seemingly remote from human history.
Those disciplines include, above all, genetics, molecular
biology and biogeography as applied to crops and their
wild ancestors; the same disciplines plus behavioral ecology
as applied to domestic animals and their wild ancestors;
molecular biology of human germs and related germs of
animals; epidemiology of human diseases; human genetics;
linguistics; archaeological studies on all continents
and major islands; and studies of the histories of technology,
writing, and political organization.”
(Diamond, pp.25-6)
John
Henry Calvinist
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